US Passing 500,000 Cumulative Covid Deaths in One Week and Perhaps 1 Million This Summertime
Brian Wang|.
February 7, 2021|
The United States currently records 474,915 deaths from COVID and the seven day average or day-to-day deaths is over 3000 each day. This will likely upgrade to about 476,000 deaths by the end of the day Feb 7, 2021.
UPDATE– adjusted for difference in between IHME and Worldometers reporting of death totals on Jan 29.
The worldwide seven day rolling average of everyday deaths is over 12,000 per day. By the end of February, 2021 there will be over 2.5 million deaths from COVID.
The University of Washington design was upgraded at the end of January, 2021. It under-predicted deaths from Jan 30- Feb 7.
On January 29, 2021, Institute for Health Metrics and Examination reported 432000 deaths. IHME anticipated 457,500 deaths on Feb 7,2021 IHME predicted 481,000 deaths by Feb17
.
Worldometers.info recorded 449,000 deaths on Jan 29, 2021 and will be reporting over 476,000 deaths by the end of Feb 7,2021
.
IHME expected 25,000 more deaths in 9 days. Worldometers.info reports over 27,000 deaths in the U.S.A. over the last 9 days.
By June 1, 2021, IHME was projecting 600,000 to 700,000 deaths in the USA.
If the additional deaths over the next 100 days had the exact same under forecasting as the 9-day forecast, then we would expect the United States to see 270,000 extra deaths rather of 240,000 The USA would be passing 1 million COVID deaths in July-August, 2021.
There was a difference between what IHME counted for Jan 29 and what Worldometers had for Jan 29.
SOURCES- Worldometers, Healthdata.org, Brian Wang analysis
Composed by Brian Wang, Nextbigfuture.com
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blog writer with 1 million readers each month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked # 1 Science News Blog. It covers numerous disruptive innovation and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medication, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for recognizing cutting edge technologies, he is presently a Co-Founder of a start-up and fundraiser for high prospective early-stage business. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology financial investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A regular speaker at corporations, he has actually been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at various interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and encouraging engagements.
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